Dibba Al Hisn 2-2 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
3.18
6+ Goals
11%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 33% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
26%
+11.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
48%
-10.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.1pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dibba Al Hisn EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 52%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.93/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.46
-19% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
7.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
9.9 Crosses 13.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dibba Al Hisn
2-2
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
2.97 xG 1.22
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 3
185 Passes 431
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dibba Al Hisn vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dibba Al Hisn and Al Ittihad Kalba couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dibba Al Hisn had 34% of the ball to Al Ittihad Kalba's 66%, shots finished 12-20, expected goals 2.97 to 1.22.

What was the final score of Dibba Al Hisn vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Dibba Al Hisn 2-2 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dibba Al Hisn vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dibba Al Hisn win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dibba Al Hisn 38%, draw 24%, Al Ittihad Kalba 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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