Al Nasr 3-1 Khorfakkan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
27%
2.51
6+ Goals
11%
5.77
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
59%
-10.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.3pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.4pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Khorfakkan EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.61/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.64
-28% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
403 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 77%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
22.8 Crosses 16.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Khorfakkan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.13
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
434 Passes 233
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.05.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-1 HT 1-1 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
17.02.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAECK
09.12.2023 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
10.02.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-0 HT 0-0 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan BAE
15.09.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
25.02.2022 Khorfakkan Khorfakkan 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr got the better of Khorfakkan 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nasr had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Al Nasr and 1.33 for Khorfakkan.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan?

Al Nasr 3-1 Khorfakkan in the UAE - League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Khorfakkan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 48%, draw 23%, Khorfakkan 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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