Patro Eisden 2-3 RFC Seraing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
25%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.57
2-3 Goals
34%
1.76
4-5 Goals
27%
3.07
6+ Goals
13%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-12.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+11.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 17%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.81/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.76
+36% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +43%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
19.7 Crosses 13.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patro Eisden
1W-1D-1L
AWAY RFC Seraing
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.63 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
316 Passes 264
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.10.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-0 HT 0-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
03.03.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 3-0 HT 2-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
05.11.2023 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden 2-1 HT 2-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patro Eisden
2-3
AWAY RFC Seraing
1.75 xG 2.92
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
234 Passes 224
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 37
16 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Patro Eisden vs RFC Seraing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Seraing squeezed past Patro Eisden 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Patro Eisden at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Patro Eisden had 52% of the ball to RFC Seraing's 48%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.75 to 2.92.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Patro Eisden and 1.33 for RFC Seraing.

What was the final score of Patro Eisden vs RFC Seraing?

Patro Eisden 2-3 RFC Seraing in the Belgium - 1st Division on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patro Eisden vs RFC Seraing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Patro Eisden 53%, draw 22%, RFC Seraing 26%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Patro Eisden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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