Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0 Lommel United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.1
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
29%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
8.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-3.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.3pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lommel United EU Bookmakers 46%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.32/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.01
+11% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
19.2 Crosses 15.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lommel United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.01 xG 1.65
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
273 Passes 455
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Lommel United Lommel United 1-1 HT 0-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
17.12.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 3-0 HT 3-0 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
03.09.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 1-2 HT 0-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
11.02.2023 Lommel United Lommel United 0-2 HT 0-2 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
23.10.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-1 HT 3-1 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
05.03.2022 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 0-2 HT 0-0 Lommel United Lommel United BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
1-0
AWAY Lommel United
1.24 xG 0.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 9
254 Passes 354
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs Lommel United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen nicked a narrow win over Lommel United 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Lierse Kempenzonen made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 43% of the ball to Lommel United's 57%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.24 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lommel United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lierse Kempenzonen and 1.50 for Lommel United.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs Lommel United?

Lierse Kempenzonen 1-0 Lommel United in the Belgium - 1st Division on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs Lommel United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lommel United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 37%, draw 25%, Lommel United 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lommel United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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