Wilstermann 3-2 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 22 Dec 2024

Wilstermann
3-2 HT 1-0
Independiente Petrolero
📅22/12/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

Wilstermann vs Independiente Petrolero Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
26%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.39
No
51%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
45%
+5.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.6pp
51%
BTTS No
32%
+18.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wilstermann v Independiente Petrolero — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.74/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.60
-4% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 72%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.8 Crosses 16.6
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.3

Wilstermann vs Independiente Petrolero Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wilstermann
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.96 xG 1.03
55% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
279 Passes 223
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2024 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-2 HT 1-2 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
04.10.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-3 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
16.04.2023 Wilstermann Wilstermann 0-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
18.10.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-3 HT 1-2 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
01.05.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 3-2 HT 2-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
28.02.2022 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ

Wilstermann 3-2 Independiente Petrolero — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wilstermann
3-2
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
2.76 xG 0.70
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
335 Passes 144
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wilstermann vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wilstermann edged past Independiente Petrolero 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wilstermann as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wilstermann had 64% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 36%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.76 to 0.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Wilstermann's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wilstermann and 1.50 for Independiente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Wilstermann vs Independiente Petrolero?

Wilstermann 3-2 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wilstermann vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wilstermann win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Wilstermann 51%, draw 23%, Independiente Petrolero 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wilstermann), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wilstermann) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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