PSM Makassar 3-2 Barito Putera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.7pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Barito Putera EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.77/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.84
-3% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
337 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Barito Putera
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
143 Passes 318
62% Pass Accuracy 79%
15.03.2024 Barito Putera Barito Putera 3-1 HT 1-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
09.02.2023 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 4-1 HT 1-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
10.01.2023 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-1 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
28.01.2022 Barito Putera Barito Putera 1-2 HT 1-2 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
27.09.2021 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-2 HT 0-0 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
15.03.2020 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-1 HT 1-1 Barito Putera Barito Putera ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Barito Putera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar nicked a narrow win over Barito Putera 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSM Makassar as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for PSM Makassar and 1.50 for Barito Putera.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Barito Putera?

PSM Makassar 3-2 Barito Putera in the Indonesia League 1 on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Barito Putera?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 55%, draw 23%, Barito Putera 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSM Makassar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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