Raja Casablanca 3-0 Chabab Mohammedia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.6
No
61%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.7
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.01
6+ Goals
10%
9.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 26% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
78%
-16.8pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.2pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
34%
+4.9pp
61%
BTTS No
66%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Casablanca EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.83/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/2.01
-11% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -15%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
367 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raja Casablanca
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 0-2 HT 0-1 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
08.04.2024 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 0-1 HT 0-1 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FASK
26.11.2023 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
04.03.2023 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca 1-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia FAS
30.09.2022 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
19.06.2022 Chabab Mohammedia Chabab Mohammedia 0-0 HT 0-0 Raja Casablanca Raja Casablanca FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raja Casablanca
3-0
AWAY Chabab Mohammedia
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Raja Casablanca vs Chabab Mohammedia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Casablanca cruised past Chabab Mohammedia 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Raja Casablanca as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Raja Casablanca had 62% of the ball to Chabab Mohammedia's 38%, shots finished 23-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raja Casablanca had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Raja Casablanca and 0.00 for Chabab Mohammedia.

What was the final score of Raja Casablanca vs Chabab Mohammedia?

Raja Casablanca 3-0 Chabab Mohammedia in the Morocco - League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Casablanca vs Chabab Mohammedia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Casablanca win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Raja Casablanca 61%, draw 23%, Chabab Mohammedia 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Casablanca), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raja Casablanca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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