The New Saints 5-2 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.11
Draw
15%
8.11
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
11.3
2-3 Goals
35%
2.65
4-5 Goals
34%
2.2
6+ Goals
15%
2.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
85%
-13.2pp
15%
Draw
9%
+5.7pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The New Saints EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
3.43/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.84
+26% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +57%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
438 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The New Saints
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Briton Ferry
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
73% Ball Possession 27%
21 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.11.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 3-1 HT 3-1 The New Saints The New Saints GAL
16.02.2024 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 1-5 HT 0-0 The New Saints The New Saints GALWK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The New Saints
5-2
AWAY Briton Ferry
72% Ball Possession 28%
28 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
POST-MATCH The New Saints vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The New Saints swept aside Briton Ferry 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had The New Saints as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, The New Saints had 72% of the ball to Briton Ferry's 28%, shots finished 28-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for The New Saints and 2.00 for Briton Ferry.

What was the final score of The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?

The New Saints 5-2 Briton Ferry in the Wales - Premier League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated a The New Saints win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split The New Saints 72%, draw 15%, Briton Ferry 14%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The New Saints), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The New Saints) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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