Tuen Mun SA vs South China Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tuen Mun SA v South China — Team-Based Signals
Tuen Mun SA 1-5 South China — Actual Match Statistics
South China swept aside Tuen Mun SA 5-1 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had South China as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Tuen Mun SA had 46% of the ball to South China's 54%, shots finished 13-18.
What was the final score of Tuen Mun SA vs South China?
Tuen Mun SA 1-5 South China in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tuen Mun SA vs South China?
Before kick-off our model rated an South China win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Tuen Mun SA 21%, draw 16%, South China 62%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South China), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.