Ajax (K) 3-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 22 Dec 2024

Ajax (K)
3-1 HT 3-1
Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
📅22/12/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✓
Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Ajax (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.11
Draw
16%
8.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
28%
X/2
2%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
85%
-13.7pp
16%
Draw
8%
+7.4pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajax (K) v Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
3.64/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/3.34
+42% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -21%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
440 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.9 Crosses 11.2
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.5

Ajax (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajax (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
6.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
71% Ball Possession 29%
20 Total Shots 5
14 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Ajax (K) Ajax (K) 6-1 HT 4-0 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) Excelsior Barendrecht (K) HOLK1

Ajax (K) 3-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax (K)
3-1
AWAY Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
405 Passes 215
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
6 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajax (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax (K) beat Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 3-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ajax (K) as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ajax (K) had 62% of the ball to Excelsior Barendrecht (K)'s 38%, shots finished 21-11.

What was the final score of Ajax (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Ajax (K) 3-1 Excelsior Barendrecht (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax (K) vs Excelsior Barendrecht (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Ajax (K) 71%, draw 16%, Excelsior Barendrecht (K) 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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