Mes Kerman 4-0 Ario Eslamshahr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
41%
2.88
Away
24%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.45
Over 2.5
32%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
No
64%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
25%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.0pp
41%
Draw
31%
+9.8pp
24%
Away Win
30%
-6.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
65%
+3.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
35%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Kerman EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 34%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.16/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.88
+7% / +138% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Kerman
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
21.12.2024 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 0-0 HT 0-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
27.03.2024 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 2-0 HT 1-0 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
21.10.2023 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 1-2 HT 0-1 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Kerman vs Ario Eslamshahr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Kerman cruised past Ario Eslamshahr 4-0.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (64%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mes Kerman had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mes Kerman and 0.33 for Ario Eslamshahr.

What was the final score of Mes Kerman vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Mes Kerman 4-0 Ario Eslamshahr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Kerman vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mes Kerman 35%, draw 41%, Ario Eslamshahr 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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