Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
44%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.5
6+ Goals
8%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.3
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
26.0
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
8%
6.14
X/2
16%
4.98
X/X
13%
4.93
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
20%
3.21
2/X
6%
13.7
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.0 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 45%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
0.84/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.25
+32% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
23.9 Crosses 16.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1-1
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.02 xG 1.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 6
320 Passes 268
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
39 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esenler Erokspor and Bandırmaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 53% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 47%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.02 to 1.28.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 30%, draw 26%, Bandırmaspor 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bandırmaspor), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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