Buriram United vs Muang Thong United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Buriram United v Muang Thong United — Team-Based Signals
Buriram United vs Muang Thong United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Buriram United
TAY
4-4
HT 3-1
Buriram United
TAY
1-1
HT 0-1
Muang Thong United
TAY
0-1
HT 0-1
Buriram United
TAY
2-0
HT 0-0
Muang Thong United
TAY
Buriram United 1-0 Muang Thong United — Actual Match Statistics
Buriram United squeezed past Muang Thong United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Buriram United had 58% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 42%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 2.50 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Buriram United's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Buriram United and 1.33 for Muang Thong United.
What was the final score of Buriram United vs Muang Thong United?
Buriram United 1-0 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Muang Thong United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 55%, draw 22%, Muang Thong United 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.