Buriram United 3-1 Muang Thong United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

Buriram United
3-1 HT 2-0
Muang Thong United
📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Thailand - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Buriram United vs Muang Thong United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.32
Draw
26%
4.95
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.59
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
71%
-18.8pp
26%
Draw
17%
+8.9pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+9.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Buriram United v Muang Thong United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Muang Thong United EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.93/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.52
+3% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
21.9 Crosses 11.1
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Buriram United vs Muang Thong United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Muang Thong United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.24 xG 0.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
306 Passes 352
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 2-2 HT 1-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
12.02.2023 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 4-4 HT 3-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
11.09.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 1-1 HT 0-1 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY
29.01.2022 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United 0-1 HT 0-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
31.10.2021 Buriram United Buriram United 2-0 HT 0-0 Muang Thong United Muang Thong United TAY

Buriram United 3-1 Muang Thong United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
3-1
AWAY Muang Thong United
2.06 xG 0.68
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
306 Passes 402
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
15 Box Touches 9
10 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Muang Thong United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United beat Muang Thong United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Buriram United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Buriram United had 44% of the ball to Muang Thong United's 56%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.06 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Buriram United and 1.40 for Muang Thong United.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Muang Thong United?

Buriram United 3-1 Muang Thong United in the Thailand - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Muang Thong United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 52%, draw 26%, Muang Thong United 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buriram United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Buriram United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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