Chonburi 0-1 Nakhon Pathom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.6pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chonburi EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Nakhon Pathom EU Bookmakers 24%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.54/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.64
+17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
16.9 Crosses 8.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chonburi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
02.12.2023 Nakhon Pathom Nakhon Pathom 1-0 HT 0-0 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chonburi
0-1
AWAY Nakhon Pathom
1.10 xG 0.29
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 5
359 Passes 296
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
37 Box Touches 13
49 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chonburi vs Nakhon Pathom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nakhon Pathom squeezed past Chonburi 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chonburi at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chonburi had 56% of the ball to Nakhon Pathom's 44%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.10 to 0.29 — on chances, Chonburi could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Chonburi vs Nakhon Pathom?

Chonburi 0-1 Nakhon Pathom in the Thailand - 1st Division on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chonburi vs Nakhon Pathom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chonburi win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chonburi 48%, draw 22%, Nakhon Pathom 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chonburi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chonburi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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