23/01/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Al Hadd vs AAli FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.28
— our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
27%
Draw
26%
24%
Away Win
28%
40%
Under 2.5
48%
60%
Over 2.5
52%
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
47%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Hadd v AAli FC — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Hadd
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
AAli FC
EU Bookmakers 32%
+39% /
+39%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+6% /
+6%
2.00/0.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.93
+16%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-16%
/
-9%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
7
Corners
6
332 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
291 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Hadd vs AAli FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Hadd got the better of AAli FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Hadd as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Hadd vs AAli FC?
Al Hadd 2-0 AAli FC in the Bahrain - Cup on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Hadd vs AAli FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hadd win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Al Hadd 49%, draw 27%, AAli FC 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hadd) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Hadd)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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BAHK
More Bahrain - Cup
23 Jan 2024