Al Shabab Manama 2-1 Al Ittifaq Maqaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Cup, 23 Jan 2024

📅23/01/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
7%
9.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 26% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.2pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittifaq Maqaba EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
2-1
AWAY Al Ittifaq Maqaba
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs Al Ittifaq Maqaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama squeezed past Al Ittifaq Maqaba 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Shabab Manama as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 49% of the ball to Al Ittifaq Maqaba's 51%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs Al Ittifaq Maqaba?

Al Shabab Manama 2-1 Al Ittifaq Maqaba in the Bahrain - Cup on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs Al Ittifaq Maqaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 54%, draw 25%, Al Ittifaq Maqaba 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAHK More Bahrain - Cup
23 Jan 2024
19:00 Al Hadd vs AAli FC Analysis →
19:00 Isa Town vs Muharraq Analysis →