Hatayspor 1-1 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 23 Jan 2024

Hatayspor
1-1 HT 1-0
Alanyaspor
📅23/01/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Turkey - Super League – 2023/2024

Hatayspor vs Alanyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.01
6+ Goals
10%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.79
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
11%
5.41
X/2
16%
5.43
X/X
11%
4.22
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
13%
3.81
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hatayspor v Alanyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hatayspor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +4%
1.20/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.33
-24% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
22.2 Crosses 18.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Hatayspor vs Alanyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hatayspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Alanyaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.57 xG 2.21
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
251 Passes 486
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
09.10.2022 Hatayspor Hatayspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
20.01.2022 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 6-0 HT 2-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL
28.08.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 5-0 HT 3-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
14.02.2021 Hatayspor Hatayspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
04.10.2020 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 6-0 HT 4-0 Hatayspor Hatayspor TSL

Hatayspor 1-1 Alanyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hatayspor
1-1
AWAY Alanyaspor
0.09 xG 2.10
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
244 Passes 601
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 40
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hatayspor vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hatayspor and Alanyaspor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hatayspor had 32% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 68%, shots finished 4-18, expected goals 0.09 to 2.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hatayspor and 2.00 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Hatayspor vs Alanyaspor?

Hatayspor 1-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hatayspor vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hatayspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hatayspor 36%, draw 30%, Alanyaspor 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hatayspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hatayspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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