Pendikspor vs Kasımpaşa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pendikspor v Kasımpaşa — Team-Based Signals
Pendikspor vs Kasımpaşa Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Pendikspor
TSL
1-2
HT 0-0
Pendikspor
T2-1
Pendikspor 3-2 Kasımpaşa — Actual Match Statistics
Pendikspor nicked a narrow win over Kasımpaşa 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Pendikspor made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Pendikspor had 54% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 46%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.82 to 0.52 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Pendikspor's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pendikspor had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pendikspor and 1.00 for Kasımpaşa.
What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Kasımpaşa?
Pendikspor 3-2 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 23/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Kasımpaşa?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 36%, draw 27%, Kasımpaşa 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Kasımpaşa) went the other way.