ABD 3-0 Kosta Rika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
57%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
2.07
Over
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.7
2-3
34%
1.79
4-5
23%
2.99
6+
13%
9.67
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.7 — our 30% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.67
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.5
X/1
19%
3.86
X/2
6%
14.9
X/X
8%
6.28
2/1
7%
22.55
2/2
7%
12.8
2/X
7%
20.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
ABD win — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABD The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kosta Rika The Market 16%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
2.04/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/2.28
+27% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.8
19.8 Crosses 7.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABD
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kosta Rika
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.44 xG 0.58
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
446 Passes 250
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 9
21 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.03.2022 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika 2-0 HT 0-0 ABD ABD DKE
14.10.2021 ABD ABD 2-1 HT 1-1 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika DKE
10.06.2021 ABD ABD 4-0 HT 2-0 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika HAZ
02.02.2019 ABD ABD 2-0 HT 0-0 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika HAZ
02.09.2017 ABD ABD 0-2 HT 0-1 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika DKE
23.07.2017 Kosta Rika Kosta Rika 0-2 HT 0-0 ABD ABD GK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABD
3-0
AWAY Kosta Rika
1.04 xG 0.42
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
528 Passes 348
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ABD vs Kosta Rika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ABD swept aside Kosta Rika 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ABD as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, ABD had 58% of the ball to Kosta Rika's 42%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.04 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for ABD and 0.83 for Kosta Rika.

What was the final score of ABD vs Kosta Rika?

ABD 3-0 Kosta Rika in the Friendlies on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABD vs Kosta Rika?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split ABD 57%, draw 23%, Kosta Rika 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ABD), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ABD) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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