Cerro vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
Cerro 1-2 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle edged past Cerro 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cerro had 46% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 54%, shots finished 5-5.
What was the final score of Cerro vs Independiente Del Valle?
Cerro 1-2 Independiente Del Valle in the Friendlies on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cerro 33%, draw 26%, Independiente Del Valle 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.