Rancho Santana 4-0 Jalapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 23 Jan 2025

📅23/01/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.9
Over 2.5
41%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
37%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.2pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Jalapa EU Bookmakers 40%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.57
+48% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rancho Santana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Jalapa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.08.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 1-0 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs Jalapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rancho Santana ran out comfortable winners over Jalapa 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Rancho Santana made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs Jalapa?

Rancho Santana 4-0 Jalapa in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 23/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs Jalapa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 32%, draw 28%, Jalapa 40%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Jalapa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jalapa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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