Instituto Cordoba 0-1 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 23 Jan 2026

📅23/01/2026 · 🕒04:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.57
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.36
Over 2.5
35%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
17%
6.94
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.24
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.25
X/1
13%
5.28
X/2
9%
5.59
X/X
20%
3.21
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
18%
4.63
2/X
6%
15.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.7pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
70%
-5.3pp
35%
Over 2.5
30%
+5.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Instituto Cordoba EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +18%
1.14/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.02
-14% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
277 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 73%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
21.4 Crosses 16.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Instituto Cordoba
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.56 xG 0.68
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
212 Passes 283
67% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2025 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
03.02.2025 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 2-0 HT 1-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
18.08.2024 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-0 HT 1-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
17.03.2024 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield 1-0 HT 0-0 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba ARJ
29.10.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
12.04.2023 Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Instituto Cordoba
0-1
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.70 xG 0.46
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
228 Passes 281
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Instituto Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Sarsfield nicked a narrow win over Instituto Cordoba 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 35% — and on the day Velez Sarsfield made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Instituto Cordoba had 47% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 53%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 0.70 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Sarsfield led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Instituto Cordoba and 0.50 for Velez Sarsfield.

What was the final score of Instituto Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield?

Instituto Cordoba 0-1 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Instituto Cordoba vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Instituto Cordoba 32%, draw 34%, Velez Sarsfield 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Sarsfield), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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