Al Jazira Al Hamra 2-3 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 23 Jan 2026

📅23/01/2026 · 🕒16:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Jazira Al Hamra EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 29%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
2.22/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.48
+38% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Jazira Al Hamra
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Al Thaid
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.12.2025 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 0-4 HT 0-2 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
10.05.2025 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
26.01.2025 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-0 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
11.01.2025 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-1 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra BAE2
21.04.2024 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-2 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
11.11.2023 Al Jazira Al Hamra Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAECK
POST-MATCH Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Thaid nicked a narrow win over Al Jazira Al Hamra 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Al Jazira Al Hamra at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Jazira Al Hamra had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Jazira Al Hamra and 1.17 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Al Thaid?

Al Jazira Al Hamra 2-3 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Jazira Al Hamra vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Jazira Al Hamra win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Jazira Al Hamra 43%, draw 24%, Al Thaid 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Jazira Al Hamra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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