Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 Universidad Concepcion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Jan 2026

📅23/01/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
4.71
6+ Goals
8%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Universidad Concepcion EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1-2
AWAY Universidad Concepcion
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Universidad Concepcion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universidad Concepcion edged past Montevideo Wanderers 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Universidad Concepcion made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 51% of the ball to Universidad Concepcion's 49%, shots finished 9-6.

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Universidad Concepcion?

Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 Universidad Concepcion in the Friendlies on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Universidad Concepcion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Universidad Concepcion win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 32%, draw 28%, Universidad Concepcion 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universidad Concepcion) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universidad Concepcion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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