Panama 0-1 Meksika — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Jan 2026

📅23/01/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
59%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.75
2-3 Goals
47%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.11
6+ Goals
7%
19.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
8.43
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
5%
17.25
X/1
5%
9.73
X/2
14%
4.07
X/X
15%
4.63
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
38%
2.24
2/X
5%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
19%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
59%
Away Win
55%
+4.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panama EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Meksika EU Bookmakers 58%
-42% / -42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.80/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.77
-90% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / +113%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
18.0 Crosses 13.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panama
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Meksika
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.95 xG 1.46
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
311 Passes 294
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2025 Meksika Meksika 2-1 HT 1-1 Panama Panama CON
22.03.2024 Panama Panama 0-3 HT 0-2 Meksika Meksika CON
17.07.2023 Meksika Meksika 1-0 HT 0-0 Panama Panama GK
19.06.2023 Panama Panama 0-1 HT 0-1 Meksika Meksika CON
03.02.2022 Meksika Meksika 1-0 HT 0-0 Panama Panama DKE
09.09.2021 Panama Panama 1-1 HT 1-0 Meksika Meksika DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panama
0-1
AWAY Meksika
0.06 xG 0.96
28% Ball Possession 72%
4 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 9
188 Passes 596
74% Pass Accuracy 91%
3 Box Touches 18
3 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Panama vs Meksika
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meksika edged past Panama 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Meksika as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Panama had 28% of the ball to Meksika's 72%, shots finished 4-9, expected goals 0.06 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Meksika led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Panama and 1.50 for Meksika.

What was the final score of Panama vs Meksika?

Panama 0-1 Meksika in the Friendlies on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panama vs Meksika?

Before kick-off our model rated an Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Panama 17%, draw 24%, Meksika 59%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Meksika) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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