Meksika vs Panama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Meksika v Panama — Team-Based Signals
Meksika vs Panama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Meksika 2-1 Panama — Actual Match Statistics
Meksika nicked a narrow win over Panama 2-1. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Meksika as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Panama saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.62 to 1.27.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Meksika had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Meksika against 0.17 for Panama.
Meksika vs Panama Result & Final Score
Meksika 2 - 1 Panama in the CONCACAF Nations League on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Meksika vs Panama Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Meksika 65%, draw 23%, Panama 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.