Meksika vs Panama Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Meksika v Panama — Team-Based Signals
Meksika vs Panama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Panama
GK
0-1
HT 0-1
Meksika
CON
1-0
HT 0-0
Panama
DKE
1-1
HT 1-0
Meksika
DKE
3-0
HT 1-0
Panama
HAZ
Meksika 2-1 Panama — Actual Match Statistics
Meksika nicked a narrow win over Panama 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Meksika as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Meksika had 47% of the ball to Panama's 53%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.62 to 1.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Meksika had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Meksika and 0.17 for Panama.
What was the final score of Meksika vs Panama?
Meksika 2-1 Panama in the CONCACAF Champions League on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Meksika vs Panama?
Before kick-off our model rated a Meksika win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Meksika 53%, draw 26%, Panama 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meksika) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.