Kanada 2-1 ABD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 24 Mar 2025

Kanada
2-1 HT 1-1
ABD
📅24/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.75
Over 2.5
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
8%
16.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 33% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+8.5pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
40%
-6.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanada EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY ABD EU Bookmakers 43%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.91/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.70
-78% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
17.5 Crosses 9.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kanada
2W-2D-2L
AWAY ABD
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.46
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
295 Passes 419
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 ABD ABD 1-2 HT 0-1 Kanada Kanada HAZ
10.07.2023 ABD ABD 2-2 HT 0-0 Kanada Kanada GK
19.06.2023 Kanada Kanada 0-2 HT 0-2 ABD ABD CON
30.01.2022 Kanada Kanada 2-0 HT 1-0 ABD ABD DKE
06.09.2021 ABD ABD 1-1 HT 0-0 Kanada Kanada DKE
19.07.2021 ABD ABD 1-0 HT 1-0 Kanada Kanada GK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanada
2-1
AWAY ABD
1.23 xG 0.81
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
221 Passes 359
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kanada vs ABD
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanada nicked a narrow win over ABD 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kanada as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kanada had 40% of the ball to ABD's 60%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.23 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kanada and 1.17 for ABD.

What was the final score of Kanada vs ABD?

Kanada 2-1 ABD in the CONCACAF Champions League on 24/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanada vs ABD?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kanada 41%, draw 26%, ABD 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanada) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kanada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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