Persepolis 2-1 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 23 Jan 2026

📅23/01/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
34%
2.66
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.33
Over 2.5
31%
3.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
1.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
13%
8.31
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.1pp
34%
Draw
34%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-0.2pp
69%
Under 2.5
72%
-2.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
28%
+2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.0pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Persepolis EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
0.79/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.89
-16% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Persepolis
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sepahan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
25.08.2025 Sepahan Sepahan 0-1 HT 0-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
18.04.2025 Persepolis Persepolis 0-2 HT 0-2 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
12.02.2025 Sepahan Sepahan 3-2 Persepolis Persepolis IRANK
16.12.2024 Sepahan Sepahan 2-1 HT 1-1 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
01.05.2024 Persepolis Persepolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
12.11.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 1-0 HT 0-0 Persepolis Persepolis IRAN
POST-MATCH Persepolis vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Persepolis edged past Sepahan 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 30%) promised a tight game; Persepolis found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Persepolis and 1.33 for Sepahan.

What was the final score of Persepolis vs Sepahan?

Persepolis 2-1 Sepahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 23/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Persepolis vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Persepolis win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Persepolis 35%, draw 34%, Sepahan 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Persepolis) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Persepolis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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