Coventry 0-3 Preston North End — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 23 Feb 2024

Coventry
0-3 HT 0-3
Preston North End
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Coventry vs Preston North End Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.7
No
56%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.11
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.99 — our 32% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.12
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
14%
4.04
X/2
8%
9.86
X/X
13%
5.51
2/1
7%
21.85
2/2
12%
7.29
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+6.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.5pp
56%
BTTS No
45%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Coventry v Preston North End — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Coventry EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston North End EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -5%
1.53/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.26
-15% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
21.5 Crosses 15.1
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Coventry vs Preston North End Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Coventry
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Preston North End
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 1.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
300 Passes 247
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 3-2 HT 2-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
28.02.2023 Preston North End Preston North End 0-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
31.08.2022 Coventry Coventry 0-1 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
26.02.2022 Coventry Coventry 1-1 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL
20.10.2021 Preston North End Preston North End 2-1 HT 0-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
24.04.2021 Coventry Coventry 0-1 HT 0-0 Preston North End Preston North End İNCL

Coventry 0-3 Preston North End — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Coventry
0-3
AWAY Preston North End
0.82 xG 1.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
340 Passes 264
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Coventry vs Preston North End
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston North End swept aside Coventry 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Coventry at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Coventry had 55% of the ball to Preston North End's 45%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.82 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Preston North End led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Coventry and 1.33 for Preston North End.

What was the final score of Coventry vs Preston North End?

Coventry 0-3 Preston North End in the England - Championship on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Coventry vs Preston North End?

Before kick-off our model rated a Coventry win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Coventry 48%, draw 25%, Preston North End 27%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Coventry), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Coventry) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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