Leeds United 3-1 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 23 Feb 2024

Leeds United
3-1 HT 0-1
Leicester City
📅23/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Championship – 2023/2024

Leeds United vs Leicester City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.82
1/2
8%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
21%
4.8
X/2
8%
7.01
X/X
13%
5.02
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
17%
4.78
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leeds United v Leicester City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +21%
1.74/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/1.13
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +47%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.4
19.0 Crosses 8.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.7

Leeds United vs Leicester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Leicester City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.61 xG 1.09
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
310 Passes 374
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.11.2023 Leicester City Leicester City 0-1 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
25.04.2023 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
20.10.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 2-0 HT 2-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
05.03.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 1-0 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
07.11.2021 Leeds United Leeds United 1-1 HT 1-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
31.01.2021 Leicester City Leicester City 1-3 HT 1-1 Leeds United Leeds United İNP

Leeds United 3-1 Leicester City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United
3-1
AWAY Leicester City
1.31 xG 1.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
477 Passes 300
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leeds United vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United saw off Leicester City 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leeds United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Leeds United had 60% of the ball to Leicester City's 40%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 1.31 to 1.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leeds United and 1.00 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Leeds United vs Leicester City?

Leeds United 3-1 Leicester City in the England - Championship on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Leeds United 41%, draw 25%, Leicester City 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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