Pontedera 1-2 Sassari Torres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.68
Over 2.5
50%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.19
6+ Goals
11%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.0pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassari Torres EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.95/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.20
-13% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Sassari Torres
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-0 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
05.03.2023 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres 0-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
29.10.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 1-0 HT 0-0 Sassari Torres Sassari Torres İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
1-2
AWAY Sassari Torres
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Sassari Torres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sassari Torres nicked a narrow win over Pontedera 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Sassari Torres made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Pontedera had 48% of the ball to Sassari Torres's 52%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pontedera had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Pontedera and 0.00 for Sassari Torres.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Sassari Torres?

Pontedera 1-2 Sassari Torres in the Italy - Serie C on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Sassari Torres?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sassari Torres win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 37%, draw 24%, Sassari Torres 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sassari Torres), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sassari Torres) ✓ BTTS Yes
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