İspanya (K) 3-0 Hollanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.96
No
46%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.43
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 24% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.8pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.6pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
+6.6pp
46%
BTTS No
53%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İspanya (K) EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Hollanda (K) EU Bookmakers 19%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
3.78/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.18
+150% / -79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -46%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
447 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
56.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
34.0 Crosses 7.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İspanya (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Hollanda (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.42 xG 0.85
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
457 Passes 257
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
32 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.08.2023 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) 2-1 HT 0-0 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) KDK
27.02.2019 İspanya (K) İspanya (K) 2-0 HT 1-0 Hollanda (K) Hollanda (K) Dünya - Kadınlar Algarve Kupası
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İspanya (K)
3-0
AWAY Hollanda (K)
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH İspanya (K) vs Hollanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İspanya (K) cruised past Hollanda (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İspanya (K) as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, İspanya (K) had 57% of the ball to Hollanda (K)'s 43%, shots finished 20-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, İspanya (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for İspanya (K) and 0.50 for Hollanda (K).

What was the final score of İspanya (K) vs Hollanda (K)?

İspanya (K) 3-0 Hollanda (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İspanya (K) vs Hollanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split İspanya (K) 50%, draw 29%, Hollanda (K) 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İspanya (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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