Sırbistan (K) 1-1 İzlanda (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.32
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+10.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-10.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sırbistan (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY İzlanda (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sırbistan (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY İzlanda (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 9.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 29
5 Shots on Target 18
2 Corners 7
17.09.2014 İzlanda (K) İzlanda (K) 9-1 HT 3-0 Sırbistan (K) Sırbistan (K) KDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sırbistan (K)
1-1
AWAY İzlanda (K)
0.64 xG 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
295 Passes 200
74% Pass Accuracy 61%
24 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sırbistan (K) vs İzlanda (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sırbistan (K) and İzlanda (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sırbistan (K) had 56% of the ball to İzlanda (K)'s 44%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 0.64 to 1.00.

What was the final score of Sırbistan (K) vs İzlanda (K)?

Sırbistan (K) 1-1 İzlanda (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sırbistan (K) vs İzlanda (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sırbistan (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sırbistan (K) 38%, draw 25%, İzlanda (K) 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sırbistan (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sırbistan (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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