23/02/2024
·
16:35
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Al Dhafra vs Masafi Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
22%
Draw
24%
29%
Away Win
21%
40%
Under 2.5
48%
60%
Over 2.5
52%
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
43%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Dhafra v Masafi — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Dhafra
EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
Masafi
EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-8% /
-8%
1.95/1.28
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.80/1.17
+1%
/
-17%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-30%
/
+47%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
403 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
224 · 70%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.4
Al Dhafra vs Masafi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Dhafra
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Masafi
4.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
08.10.2023
Masafi
2-4
HT 1-2
Al Dhafra
BAE2
2-4
HT 1-2
Al Dhafra
BAE2
POST-MATCH
Al Dhafra vs Masafi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Masafi edged past Al Dhafra 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Al Dhafra at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Masafi?
Al Dhafra 1-2 Masafi in the UAE - 1st Division on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Masafi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 50%, draw 22%, Masafi 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Dhafra) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Al Dhafra)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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BAE2
More UAE - 1st Division
23 Feb 2024