Al Dhafra 1-2 Masafi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒16:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
1.91
Over 2.5
60%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
54%
-4.7pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
48%
-8.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
52%
+8.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.9pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Masafi EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.95/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.17
+1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +47%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 224 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Dhafra
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Masafi
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
08.10.2023 Masafi Masafi 2-4 HT 1-2 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Dhafra vs Masafi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Masafi edged past Al Dhafra 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Dhafra at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Al Dhafra vs Masafi?

Al Dhafra 1-2 Masafi in the UAE - 1st Division on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Dhafra vs Masafi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Dhafra win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Dhafra 50%, draw 22%, Masafi 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Dhafra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Dhafra) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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