23/02/2024
·
16:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
2-1
Dubai United vs Al Thaid Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
60%
25%
Draw
22%
20%
Away Win
18%
40%
Under 2.5
39%
60%
Over 2.5
61%
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
50%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dubai United v Al Thaid — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dubai United
EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Thaid
EU Bookmakers 21%
+24% /
+24%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
4.95/0.95
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.22/1.62
+150%
/
-10%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+10%
/
+5%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
357 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
266 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
Dubai United vs Al Thaid Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Dubai United
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Al Thaid
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
The Meetings
09.10.2023
Al Thaid
3-2
Dubai United
BAE2
3-2
Dubai United
BAE2
POST-MATCH
Dubai United vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Dubai United nicked a narrow win over Al Thaid 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Dubai United as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Dubai United vs Al Thaid?
Dubai United 1-0 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dubai United vs Al Thaid?
Before kick-off our model rated a Dubai United win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Dubai United 56%, draw 25%, Al Thaid 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dubai United) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Dubai United)
✗ Over 2.5
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BAE2
More UAE - 1st Division
23 Feb 2024