Patro Eisden 3-0 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 32% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-2.2pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patro Eisden EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 25%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +24%
1.68/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.56
-14% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
402 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
15.8 Crosses 20.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patro Eisden
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.38 xG 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
235 Passes 305
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
20.08.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 2-1 HT 1-0 Patro Eisden Patro Eisden BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patro Eisden
3-0
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
0.79 xG 0.57
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
181 Passes 417
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Patro Eisden vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patro Eisden ran out comfortable winners over Lierse Kempenzonen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Patro Eisden as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Patro Eisden had 37% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 63%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.79 to 0.57.

What was the final score of Patro Eisden vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Patro Eisden 3-0 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patro Eisden vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patro Eisden win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Patro Eisden 52%, draw 23%, Lierse Kempenzonen 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Patro Eisden), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Patro Eisden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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