Waasland-Beveren 2-2 Deinze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.85
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.19
6+ Goals
11%
10.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.85 — our 25% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Deinze EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -12%
1.26/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.19
+45% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
17.3 Crosses 19.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Deinze
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 0.67
49% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 324
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
29.09.2023 Deinze Deinze 0-0 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
04.12.2022 Deinze Deinze 1-4 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
14.10.2022 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-1 HT 1-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
13.03.2022 Deinze Deinze 3-3 HT 1-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
12.12.2021 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 4-1 HT 3-1 Deinze Deinze BEL2
15.10.2021 Deinze Deinze 0-0 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
2-2
AWAY Deinze
1.79 xG 0.82
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
386 Passes 198
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
28 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs Deinze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren and Deinze shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 24% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 61% of the ball to Deinze's 39%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 1.79 to 0.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 1.00 for Deinze.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs Deinze?

Waasland-Beveren 2-2 Deinze in the Belgium - 1st Division on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs Deinze?

Before kick-off our model rated an Deinze win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 37%, draw 24%, Deinze 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deinze) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deinze) ✓ BTTS Yes
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