Cavalier 0-2 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Champions League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
54%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
2.23
Over
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No Pick
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
31%
4.54
2-3
35%
1.9
4-5
24%
2.89
6+
10%
8.31
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.54 — our 31% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
26%
Home Win
15%
+10.8pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.9pp
54%
Away Win
66%
-11.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cavalier The Market 18%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati The Market 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 475 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cavalier
0-2
AWAY FC Cincinnati
0.22 xG 2.25
25% Ball Possession 75%
5 Total Shots 27
1 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 12
142 Passes 639
61% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cavalier vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati got the better of Cavalier 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Cincinnati as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cavalier had 25% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 75%, shots finished 5-27, expected goals 0.22 to 2.25.

What was the final score of Cavalier vs FC Cincinnati?

Cavalier 0-2 FC Cincinnati in the CONCACAF Champions League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cavalier vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cavalier 26%, draw 20%, FC Cincinnati 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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