Middlesbrough U21 1-3 Chelsea U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
40%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.89
Over 2.5
51%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.39
No
49%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
28%
+10.8pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
40%
Away Win
51%
-11.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
31%
+18.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
69%
-18.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.4pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+16.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 31.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough U21
1-3
AWAY Chelsea U21
1.21 xG 1.78
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
188 Passes 493
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
6 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough U21 vs Chelsea U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U21 saw off Middlesbrough U21 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 22% / 40% — and on the day Chelsea U21 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Middlesbrough U21 had 32% of the ball to Chelsea U21's 68%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.21 to 1.78.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Middlesbrough U21 1-3 Chelsea U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough U21 38%, draw 22%, Chelsea U21 40%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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