Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 23 Feb 2024

📅23/02/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.64
Over 2.5
40%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.64
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.44
6+ Goals
8%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 35% vs market 31.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.84
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
14%
4.32
X/2
8%
7.13
X/X
16%
4.08
2/1
12%
28.5
2/2
12%
5.75
2/X
7%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.33/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.47
-5% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 79%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
21.9 Crosses 16.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.18 xG 1.01
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
351 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.08.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
31.05.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
01.10.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-1 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
13.05.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
25.08.2021 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
26.05.2021 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-2 HT 1-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2-0
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
2.66 xG 1.58
43% Ball Possession 57%
27 Total Shots 17
11 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 5
273 Passes 401
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 30
33 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanfrecce Hiroshima got the better of Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sanfrecce Hiroshima as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sanfrecce Hiroshima had 43% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 57%, shots finished 27-17, expected goals 2.66 to 1.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.17 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 23/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sanfrecce Hiroshima 42%, draw 31%, Urawa Red Diamonds 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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