Elche vs Cartagena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elche v Cartagena — Team-Based Signals
Elche vs Cartagena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Cartagena
İS2
1-0
HT 1-0
Elche
HAZ
2-0
HT 2-0
Elche
HAZ
2-1
HT 1-0
Cartagena
İS2
Elche 2-1 Cartagena — Actual Match Statistics
Elche squeezed past Cartagena 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Elche had 73% of the ball to Cartagena's 27%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 2.09 to 0.92.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cartagena led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Elche and 1.00 for Cartagena.
What was the final score of Elche vs Cartagena?
Elche 2-1 Cartagena in the Spain - 2nd Division on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elche vs Cartagena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Elche 59%, draw 24%, Cartagena 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.