Cartagena 0-1 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.24
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.87
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
10%
6.71
X/2
18%
4.32
X/X
19%
3.38
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.17
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
27%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.3pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+1.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.6pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cartagena EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 46%
-10% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.16/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.96
-6% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
263 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
21.3 Crosses 22.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cartagena
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Elche
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.38 xG 1.19
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
216 Passes 431
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.12.2023 Elche Elche 1-2 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
22.07.2023 Cartagena Cartagena 1-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche HAZ
30.07.2022 Cartagena Cartagena 2-0 HT 2-0 Elche Elche HAZ
14.04.2012 Elche Elche 2-1 HT 1-0 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
12.11.2011 Cartagena Cartagena 1-1 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2
05.02.2011 Elche Elche 1-2 HT 1-1 Cartagena Cartagena İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cartagena
0-1
AWAY Elche
0.08 xG 1.40
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 13
206 Passes 411
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 39
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cartagena vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche squeezed past Cartagena 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Cartagena had 36% of the ball to Elche's 64%, shots finished 5-25, expected goals 0.08 to 1.40 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Elche's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cartagena had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cartagena and 0.83 for Elche.

What was the final score of Cartagena vs Elche?

Cartagena 0-1 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cartagena vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cartagena 26%, draw 31%, Elche 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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