Burgos vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Burgos v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals
Burgos vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Burgos
İS2
1-1
Burgos
HAZ
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
Burgos 1-0 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics
Burgos nicked a narrow win over Sporting Gijon 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Burgos as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Burgos had 39% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 61%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.43 to 0.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Burgos and 0.67 for Sporting Gijon.
What was the final score of Burgos vs Sporting Gijon?
Burgos 1-0 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Burgos vs Sporting Gijon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Burgos 44%, draw 33%, Sporting Gijon 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Burgos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.