Eldense 2-0 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.44
Over 2.5
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.01
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.59
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.47
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
12%
4.51
X/2
9%
6.15
X/X
18%
3.29
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
5.34
2/X
10%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.2pp
33%
Draw
31%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.8pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +27%
1.41/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.43
+31% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
21.3 Crosses 9.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.60 xG 1.02
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
254 Passes 342
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 0
22.10.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 1-1 HT 0-0 Eldense Eldense İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eldense
2-0
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.84 xG 0.66
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
174 Passes 463
61% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eldense beat Racing Ferrol 2-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Eldense found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eldense had 33% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 67%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.84 to 0.66.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Racing Ferrol?

Eldense 2-0 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eldense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eldense 38%, draw 33%, Racing Ferrol 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eldense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eldense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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