Alcorcon 1-1 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 25 Feb 2024

Alcorcon
1-1 HT 0-0
Tenerife
📅25/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Alcorcon vs Tenerife Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.33
Over 2.5
28%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.51
No
70%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
1.76
2-3 Goals
33%
1.95
4-5 Goals
14%
8.55
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.63
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.55
X/1
15%
5.21
X/2
10%
4.9
X/X
16%
3.0
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.26
2/X
8%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+1.7pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.0pp
72%
Under 2.5
72%
+0.7pp
28%
Over 2.5
28%
-0.7pp
30%
BTTS Yes
36%
-5.3pp
70%
BTTS No
64%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alcorcon v Tenerife — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcorcon EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.02/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.91
-23% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
19.9 Crosses 16.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Alcorcon vs Tenerife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcorcon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tenerife
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.61 xG 1.04
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 Passes 281
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.12.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
13.02.2022 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-2 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
21.11.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
28.02.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 3-1 HT 0-0 Alcorcon Alcorcon İS2
19.09.2020 Alcorcon Alcorcon 2-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
13.07.2020 Alcorcon Alcorcon 0-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2

Alcorcon 1-1 Tenerife — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcorcon
1-1
AWAY Tenerife
0.35 xG 0.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
158 Passes 217
55% Pass Accuracy 65%
11 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alcorcon vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcorcon and Tenerife shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (70%) missed.

On the day, Alcorcon had 46% of the ball to Tenerife's 54%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 0.35 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tenerife led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alcorcon and 1.17 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Alcorcon vs Tenerife?

Alcorcon 1-1 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcorcon vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcorcon win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alcorcon 36%, draw 32%, Tenerife 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alcorcon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcorcon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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