Melilla 1-2 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.13/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.22
-20% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melilla
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Madrid III
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
13.10.2024 Real Madrid III Real Madrid III 2-1 Melilla Melilla İS4
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid III nicked a narrow win over Melilla 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Melilla at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Real Madrid III?

Melilla 1-2 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Melilla 45%, draw 27%, Real Madrid III 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melilla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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