Real Madrid III 2-1 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

Real Madrid III
2-1
Melilla
📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division RFEF – 2024/2025

Real Madrid III vs Melilla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.51
Over 2.5
40%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.1pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.8pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid III v Melilla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.14
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9

Real Madrid III 2-1 Melilla — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid III
2-1
AWAY Melilla
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Real Madrid III vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid III squeezed past Melilla 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid III as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Madrid III had 53% of the ball to Melilla's 47%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Real Madrid III vs Melilla?

Real Madrid III 2-1 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid III vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid III win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid III 41%, draw 26%, Melilla 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid III) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid III) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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