Mostoles 0-1 Conquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.9pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostoles EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Conquense EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.27/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.47
+5% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +137%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mostoles
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Conquense
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.10.2024 Conquense Conquense 1-0 HT 1-0 Mostoles İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostoles
0-1
AWAY Conquense
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mostoles vs Conquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Conquense squeezed past Mostoles 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Mostoles at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mostoles had 53% of the ball to Conquense's 47%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Mostoles vs Conquense?

Mostoles 0-1 Conquense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostoles vs Conquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mostoles win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 41%, draw 26%, Conquense 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mostoles) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mostoles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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