12/10/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Conquense vs Mostoles Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
28%
Draw
26%
25%
Away Win
21%
58%
Under 2.5
61%
42%
Over 2.5
39%
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
55%
BTTS No
58%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Conquense v Mostoles — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Conquense
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mostoles
EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-16% /
-14%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-29%
/
-22%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
324 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
283 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
3.3
POST-MATCH
Conquense vs Mostoles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Conquense squeezed past Mostoles 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Conquense as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Conquense vs Mostoles?
Conquense 1-0 Mostoles in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Conquense vs Mostoles?
Before kick-off our model rated a Conquense win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Conquense 47%, draw 28%, Mostoles 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Conquense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Conquense)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
12 Oct 2024